An Economic Evaluation of Empirical Exchange Rate Models

An Economic Evaluation of Empirical Exchange Rate Models

This paper provides a comprehensive evaluation of the short-horizon predictive ability of economic fundamentals and forward premiums on monthly exchange-rate returns in a framework that allows for volatility timing. We implement Bayesian methods for estimation and ranking of a set of empirical exchange rate models, and construct combined forecasts based on Bayesian model averaging. More importa...

The Determinants of Exchange Rate System: an Empirical Analysis

Since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System, exchange arrangements of countries have become flexible. Several attempts have been made to determine whether the theories of optimum currency areas adequately explain the choice of an exchange rate system. In this paper, the optimum currency area is retested. Using cross-section data, a regression analysis of the choice of an exchange rate syste...

Alternative Exchange Rate Theories: An Empirical Investigation

An Empirical Analysis of Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Iran's Saffron Export Price

Exchange rate pass-through to the price of traded goods is one of the important issues in economy of developing countries such as Iran and affects the efficiency of the exchange rate policies to improve the trade balance. The main aim of this paper is to empirically analyze exchange rate pass-through to Iran's saffron export price using panel data for twenty destination markets during 2000–2011...

the determinants of exchange rate system: an empirical analysis

since the breakdown of the bretton woods system, exchange arrangements of countries have become flexible. several attempts have been made to determine whether the theories of optimum currency areas adequately explain the choice of an exchange rate system. in this paper, the optimum currency area is retested. using cross-section data, a regression analysis of the choice of an exchange rate syste...